Probability

Probability is a number in [0, 1]. A tree multiplies along a branch and adds across complete branches. Students compute P(E) and P(not E), list outcomes in tables and trees, and handle two-stage events with and without replacement.

Specification · for a parent or teacher
Part no.
probability-trees
Course
Advanced Math 7 · Unit 16
Realm
Applied
Difficulty
3 of 4 Grade 6–7 core. Multi-step, first symbolic work.
Qty
5 items

Part no. is the node's id; the realm is the kind of math; qty is how many practice items it carries.

Students can

P(E)=favorablepossibleP(E)=\frac{\text{favorable}}{\text{possible}}; P(E)=1P(E)P(E')=1-P(E); list, table, tree; single vs combined events; experimental vs theoretical; law of large numbers as a tendency, not a promise.

Ready when

two-stage tree (bag of 3 red, 2 blue, no replacement) for P(same color)P(\text{same color}).

Formulas

Probability
P(E)=favorablepossibleP(E) = \frac{\text{favorable}}{\text{possible}}
Complement
P(E)=1P(E)P(E') = 1 - P(E)

Watch for

P(H then T)=12P(\text{H then T})=\frac12 for two coins; adding along a branch.

Before · requires

After · used by

— none

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probability-trees

Items: probability-trees-01 · probability-trees-02 · probability-trees-03 · probability-trees-04 · probability-trees-05